DCF Valuation
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) DCF Valuation — Is TRN overvalued?
The estimated DCF fair value of one Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) share is $29.20. Compared to the current market price of $32.46, the stock is overvalued by 10.0%.
DCF fair value
$29.20
Market price
$32.46
Upside / downside
−10.0%
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Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) DCF valuation FAQ
What is the DCF fair value of Trinity Industries Inc (TRN)?
The discounted-cash-flow model estimates the intrinsic fair value of one Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) share at $29.20, based on a 10-year projection of its cash flows converging to Damodaran industry averages.
Is Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) overvalued or undervalued?
Against the current market price of $32.46, the DCF fair value of $29.20 implies TRN is overvalued by 10.0%.
How is the TRN DCF value calculated?
It is a 10-year discounted-cash-flow estimate built from Trinity Industries Inc's reported fundamentals, with terminal assumptions anchored to Damodaran NYU industry datasets. The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when Trinity Industries Inc files a new quarterly or annual report.
How this TRN valuation is built
The model projects ten years of Trinity Industries Inc's free cash flow to the firm and discounts each year at its own cost of capital. Rather than assuming today's growth and margins persist forever, a moat-scoring step — weighing Trinity Industries Inc's ROIC-versus-WACC spread, gross-margin trend, and reinvestment efficiency — decides how many years the business holds its edge before its economics mean-revert toward the Damodaran NYU benchmarks for its industry.
WACC is rebuilt each year from an unlevered-then-relevered beta and the company's evolving capital structure; terminal value uses the Gordon growth model with a reinvestment rate tied to the return earned on new capital (goodwill stripped out to reflect operating efficiency). Every assumption — growth, margins, tax, leverage, convergence timing — is editable, and running the full interactive model adds a 10,000-draw Monte Carlo simulation and WACC-versus-terminal-growth sensitivity heatmaps.
The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when Trinity Industries Inc files a new quarterly or annual report. For educational/informational purposes only — not investment advice. Last updated 2026-08-06.