DCF Valuation
Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) DCF Valuation — Is ORIO undervalued?
The estimated DCF fair value of one Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) share is $2.15. Compared to the current market price of $0.66, the stock is undervalued by 227.2%.
DCF fair value
$2.15
Market price
$0.66
Upside / downside
+227.2%
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Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) DCF valuation FAQ
What is the DCF fair value of Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO)?
The discounted-cash-flow model estimates the intrinsic fair value of one Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) share at $2.15, based on a 10-year projection of its cash flows converging to Damodaran industry averages.
Is Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) overvalued or undervalued?
Against the current market price of $0.66, the DCF fair value of $2.15 implies ORIO is undervalued by 227.2%.
How is the ORIO DCF value calculated?
It is a 10-year discounted-cash-flow estimate built from Orion Digital Corp.'s reported fundamentals, with terminal assumptions anchored to Damodaran NYU industry datasets. The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when Orion Digital Corp. files a new quarterly or annual report.
How this ORIO valuation is built
The model projects ten years of Orion Digital Corp.'s free cash flow to the firm and discounts each year at its own cost of capital. Rather than assuming today's growth and margins persist forever, a moat-scoring step — weighing Orion Digital Corp.'s ROIC-versus-WACC spread, gross-margin trend, and reinvestment efficiency — decides how many years the business holds its edge before its economics mean-revert toward the Damodaran NYU benchmarks for its industry.
WACC is rebuilt each year from an unlevered-then-relevered beta and the company's evolving capital structure; terminal value uses the Gordon growth model with a reinvestment rate tied to the return earned on new capital (goodwill stripped out to reflect operating efficiency). Every assumption — growth, margins, tax, leverage, convergence timing — is editable, and running the full interactive model adds a 10,000-draw Monte Carlo simulation and WACC-versus-terminal-growth sensitivity heatmaps.
The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when Orion Digital Corp. files a new quarterly or annual report. For educational/informational purposes only — not investment advice. Last updated 2026-08-06.