DCF Valuation

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) DCF Valuation — Is MTB undervalued?

The estimated DCF fair value of one M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) share is $389.16. Compared to the current market price of $250.14, the stock is undervalued by 55.6%.

DCF fair value

$389.16

Market price

$250.14

Upside / downside

+55.6%

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M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) DCF valuation FAQ

What is the DCF fair value of M&T Bank Corporation (MTB)?

The discounted-cash-flow model estimates the intrinsic fair value of one M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) share at $389.16, based on a 10-year projection of its cash flows converging to Damodaran industry averages.

Is M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) overvalued or undervalued?

Against the current market price of $250.14, the DCF fair value of $389.16 implies MTB is undervalued by 55.6%.

How is the MTB DCF value calculated?

It is a 10-year discounted-cash-flow estimate built from M&T Bank Corporation's reported fundamentals, with terminal assumptions anchored to Damodaran NYU industry datasets. The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when M&T Bank Corporation files a new quarterly or annual report.

How this MTB valuation is built

The model projects ten years of M&T Bank Corporation's free cash flow to the firm and discounts each year at its own cost of capital. Rather than assuming today's growth and margins persist forever, a moat-scoring step — weighing M&T Bank Corporation's ROIC-versus-WACC spread, gross-margin trend, and reinvestment efficiency — decides how many years the business holds its edge before its economics mean-revert toward the Damodaran NYU benchmarks for its industry.

WACC is rebuilt each year from an unlevered-then-relevered beta and the company's evolving capital structure; terminal value uses the Gordon growth model with a reinvestment rate tied to the return earned on new capital (goodwill stripped out to reflect operating efficiency). Every assumption — growth, margins, tax, leverage, convergence timing — is editable, and running the full interactive model adds a 10,000-draw Monte Carlo simulation and WACC-versus-terminal-growth sensitivity heatmaps.

The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when M&T Bank Corporation files a new quarterly or annual report. For educational/informational purposes only — not investment advice. Last updated 2026-08-07.