DCF Valuation

Blackstone Group Inc (BX) DCF Valuation — Is BX overvalued?

The estimated DCF fair value of one Blackstone Group Inc (BX) share is $97.17. Compared to the current market price of $136.03, the stock is overvalued by 28.6%.

DCF fair value

$97.17

Market price

$136.03

Upside / downside

−28.6%

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Blackstone Group Inc (BX) DCF valuation FAQ

What is the DCF fair value of Blackstone Group Inc (BX)?

The discounted-cash-flow model estimates the intrinsic fair value of one Blackstone Group Inc (BX) share at $97.17, based on a 10-year projection of its cash flows converging to Damodaran industry averages.

Is Blackstone Group Inc (BX) overvalued or undervalued?

Against the current market price of $136.03, the DCF fair value of $97.17 implies BX is overvalued by 28.6%.

How is the BX DCF value calculated?

It is a 10-year discounted-cash-flow estimate built from Blackstone Group Inc's reported fundamentals, with terminal assumptions anchored to Damodaran NYU industry datasets. The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when Blackstone Group Inc files a new quarterly or annual report.

How this BX valuation is built

The model projects ten years of Blackstone Group Inc's free cash flow to the firm and discounts each year at its own cost of capital. Rather than assuming today's growth and margins persist forever, a moat-scoring step — weighing Blackstone Group Inc's ROIC-versus-WACC spread, gross-margin trend, and reinvestment efficiency — decides how many years the business holds its edge before its economics mean-revert toward the Damodaran NYU benchmarks for its industry.

WACC is rebuilt each year from an unlevered-then-relevered beta and the company's evolving capital structure; terminal value uses the Gordon growth model with a reinvestment rate tied to the return earned on new capital (goodwill stripped out to reflect operating efficiency). Every assumption — growth, margins, tax, leverage, convergence timing — is editable, and running the full interactive model adds a 10,000-draw Monte Carlo simulation and WACC-versus-terminal-growth sensitivity heatmaps.

The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when Blackstone Group Inc files a new quarterly or annual report. For educational/informational purposes only — not investment advice. Last updated 2026-08-06.